Srinagar, Jan 11: In 2024, Jammu and Kashmir recorded its driest year in 50 years, continuing a streak of below-normal precipitation for the fifth year running, with a significant 29% deficit in rainfall compared to the annual average of 1232.3 mm, according to weather experts on Saturday. “Rainfall in Jammu and Kashmir fell to just 870.9 mm in 2024, marking a remarkable deficit of 29% from the normal average of 1232.3 mm,” remarked weather expert Faizan Arif.
This is the fifth consecutive year with below-normal precipitation in the region, he pointed out.
A closer examination of rainfall patterns over the past few years reveals a concerning trend.
“In 2023, the recorded precipitation was 1146.6 mm, which is 7% below normal, and 2022 saw 1040.4 mm, showing a 16% deficit,” he added.
Arif further noted that precipitation levels dropped to 892.5 mm in 2021, a staggering shortage of 28%, while 2020 saw 982.2 mm, translating to a 20% deficit.
With 2024’s figures approaching the historical low of 802.5 mm in 1974, the region’s rainfall continues its downward trend, he emphasized.
The ongoing deficits have placed considerable stress on rivers, reservoirs, and groundwater resources, complicating challenges for farmers and residents due to decreased water availability, heightening worries about water scarcity and its repercussions on agriculture, hydropower, and everyday living.
Monthly statistics for 2024 illustrate the seriousness of the situation, starting with an alarming 91% deficit in January, according to the weather expert.
February and March reported deficits of 17% and 16%, respectively.
Although April brought some relief with a 48% surplus—being the sole month of excess rainfall—deficits returned thereafter.
In May, a 67% shortfall was recorded, followed by 38% in June, 36% in July, and 2% in August, he noted.
The situation deteriorated as the year progressed, with deficits of 41% in September, 74% in October, 69% in November, and 58% in December.
He stressed that the ongoing decline in rainfall highlights the critical need for climate adaptation and effective water management strategies to counteract the long-term effects of aridity in Jammu and Kashmir.
Local resident Mehraj Mir voiced his concerns regarding the low precipitation levels in recent years, calling it a worrisome trend.
“This will lead to significant challenges ahead. The diminished water supply will adversely affect irrigation for both agriculture and horticulture, as well as drinking water availability,” Ahmad stated.
He expressed hope for increased precipitation in the upcoming months to help reduce the deficit.
